Designing a Model of Planned Management Behavior for Consequences of Climate Change in Iran's Agriculture

Document Type : Original Research

Authors
1 PhD Student, Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, Birjand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Birjand, Iran
2 Associate Professor of Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, Birjand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Birjand, Iran
3 Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University of Khuzestan, MollaSani, Ahwaz, Iran
4 Associate Professor of Department of Agriculture and Plant Breeding, Birjand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Birjand, Iran
Abstract
Climate change is one of the challenges of today to affect the agriculture sector. Climate change in Iran in recent years has caused a decrease in rainfall and an increase in temperature and continuous droughts. Agricultural production in Iran has been affected by climate change and has faced a decrease in the production of various products. The purpose of this research was to identify social, economic and environmental consequences of climate change in Iran's agricultural sector and designing a model of Planned Management Behavior (PMB). A mixed qualitative and quantitative method was used in this research. The study sample of this research in the qualitative phase included 15 key experts who have knowledge of the consequences of climate change and in the quantitative section, there were 100 experts of the agricultural Jihad of Khuzestan province. Based on the qualitative results, the consequences of climate change were identified. In the quantitative phase, it was determined that 69.3% of attitude towards the consequences of climate changes are explained by the independent variables of concerns about social, economic and environmental consequences, feeling the need for risk management, and perceived value. Also, 71.2% of changes in planned management intention to control the consequences of climate changes are affected by the attitude towards the consequences, tendency to control behavior, personal and mental norms. Finally, 69.8% of changes in PMB for control the consequences of climate changes are caused by the use of planned management intention to control the consequences, action planning and coping planning.

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Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 01 January 2024